'Rare scenario' looming? How Netherlands' Nations League group will be decided

Netherlands, Greece and Germany could all finish on 11 points in their Nations League group; tiebreaker rules explained.

A rare scenario could unfold in the Netherlands' Nations League group. If Germany wins their final two matches, the Dutch beat Greece, and Greece defeat Serbia, all three teams would end on 11 points.

Only the top two teams qualify for the quarter-finals, making the tiebreaker criteria crucial. When three teams are level on points, UEFA first examines results between those three teams only (excluding matches against Serbia).

The next criteria are head-to-head goal difference, goals scored in those matches, overall goal difference, total goals scored, away goals, wins, away wins, Fair Play record, and finally position on the Nations League Access List.

In the described scenario, Serbia would finish on zero points regardless, simplifying the calculation somewhat.