Big Data predicts how La Liga will end

Stats Perform's AI predicts Barcelona will win La Liga with 64.76% probability, ahead of Real Madrid (31.52%), with Osasuna, Getafe and Málaga facing relegation.

With La Liga one-third through the 2026/27 season after 12 matches, Barcelona leads ahead of Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid and Betis. Stats Perform's predictive model gives Barcelona a 64.76% chance of winning their third consecutive title with an estimated 89 points, compared to Real Madrid's 31.52% probability at 85 points. Atlético Madrid is given just 3.46% and Betis 0.24%.

In the battle for European places, Real Sociedad is predicted to finish fifth and qualify for the Europa League, edging Athletic Bilbao for the spot. Athletic would finish seventh and represent Spain in the Conference League. The relegation zone would be occupied by Osasuna, Getafe and Málaga, with Espanyol narrowly surviving.

The model also predicts significant movements: Rayo Vallecano would climb from 14th to 9th, while Getafe would drop from 15th to 19th. Across Europe's top five leagues, Arsenal (74.61%), PSG (94.84%), Bayern Munich (87%) and Inter Milan (over 50%) are favoured to retain their titles.