What's going on with Kasper Hogh at Celtic? The real story behind crisis of confidence told by damning numbers

Celtic's £11m signing Hogh has struggled badly since his hat-trick debut, with damning statistics showing he converts chances at 18.8% compared to teammates Duran (23.1%) and Nygren (35%).

Kasper Hogh arrived at Celtic as a marquee signing but has endured a difficult start to life at the club. While his game-winning hat-trick against Kilmarnock promised much, he has since barely tested opposition keepers and Celtic have looked noticeably better with him on the bench and Camilo Duran leading the line.

The numbers paint a stark picture. In league play, Hogh has three goals from 16 shots (7 on target), giving him an 18.8% conversion rate and 157 minutes per goal. By contrast, Duran has six goals from 26 shots (16 on target) at 23.1% conversion, while Benjamin Nygren has six goals from 17 shots (11 on target) at 35% conversion. Despite being the primary striker, Hogh is getting fewer shots away, a lower percentage on target, and converting fewer chances than his teammates. The picture worsens when considering European and cup competitions, where Hogh has failed to score while Duran and Nygren have contributed key goals. All three of Hogh's league goals came in a single match, whereas his teammates' goals are spread across five games each.

While it remains too early to write off the £11m investment, Hogh is clearly suffering from a crisis of confidence. There has been discussion of the 'Bodo Curse'—the tendency of Bodo/Glimt players to struggle after leaving the Norwegian club—though only Victor Boniface has truly succeeded among the club's ten most expensive sales.